Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.032467 0.035445 0.038442 0.041679 0.045070 0.048512 0.052263
2025-12-21 0.028124 0.032567 0.037186 0.042323 0.047852 0.053603 0.060018
2025-12-28 0.023699 0.029073 0.034834 0.041414 0.048669 0.056377 0.065137
2026-01-04 0.020808 0.026916 0.033646 0.041513 0.050363 0.059928 0.070963
2026-01-11 0.018746 0.025459 0.033045 0.042092 0.052445 0.063791 0.077044
2026-01-18 0.016986 0.024175 0.032490 0.042592 0.054328 0.067351 0.082721
2026-01-25 0.014393 0.021674 0.030334 0.041079 0.053774 0.068052 0.085094
2026-02-01 0.012672 0.020101 0.029159 0.040607 0.054330 0.069937 0.088738
2026-02-08 0.011307 0.018863 0.028300 0.040432 0.055164 0.072088 0.092639
2026-02-15 0.010710 0.018580 0.028587 0.041615 0.057586 0.076065 0.098633
2026-02-22 0.010048 0.018151 0.028646 0.042484 0.059605 0.079553 0.104051
2026-03-01 0.009290 0.017529 0.028412 0.042950 0.061109 0.082416 0.108726
2026-03-08 0.008411 0.016694 0.027882 0.043045 0.062183 0.084809 0.112914
2026-03-15 0.007952 0.016437 0.028101 0.044086 0.064421 0.088599 0.118763
2026-03-22 0.006912 0.015228 0.026971 0.043339 0.064402 0.089655 0.121362
2026-03-29 0.006278 0.014587 0.026584 0.043529 0.065534 0.092086 0.125585
2026-04-05 0.005838 0.014218 0.026550 0.044166 0.067216 0.095176 0.130592
2026-04-12 0.005405 0.013822 0.026454 0.044701 0.068756 0.098086 0.135380
2026-04-19 0.004444 0.012435 0.024856 0.043154 0.067584 0.097632 0.136088
2026-04-26 0.003855 0.011632 0.024068 0.042673 0.067759 0.098817 0.138760
2026-05-03 0.003393 0.011009 0.023518 0.042495 0.068307 0.100452 0.141969
2026-05-10 0.003276 0.011041 0.023966 0.043714 0.070690 0.104382 0.147987
2026-05-17 0.003098 0.010933 0.024188 0.044608 0.072643 0.107775 0.153352